2024 Presidential Prediction 538. Harris wins pennsylvania, michigan and wisconsin, matching biden’s 2020 outcome in those states. In the latest new york times/philadelphia inquirer/siena college polls, kamala harris leads by four points in pennsylvania, and donald trump leads by six points in arizona.


2024 Presidential Prediction 538

The ingredients that go into the forecast, how we process them and how we. The economistis tracking the race.

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